Covid-19 deaths: Which governments have failed? 24 March

Posted by in Economics, Health, Politics

The latest worldwide average death rate is 352 per one million people (3.5 deaths for every 10,000 people). Figures are from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control situation report to Saturday 25th March 2021. Here’s the updated list of countries with death rates more than twice that average:

Territory/Area Country Deaths per million
Europe San Marino 2416
Europe Czech Republic 2359
Europe Belgium 1966
Europe Hungary 1962
Europe Montenegro 1949
Europe Slovenia 1921
Europe The United Kingdom 1865
Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina 1849
Europe Bulgaria 1786
Europe Italy 1759
Europe North Macedonia 1702
Europe Slovakia 1696
Europe Portugal 1648
Americas United States of America 1647
Europe Spain 1577
Americas Mexico 1548
Americas Peru 1531
Europe Andorra 1475
Europe Liechtenstein 1468
Europe Croatia 1420
Americas Brazil 1415
Americas Panama 1406
Europe France 1366
Europe Poland 1330
Europe Sweden 1323
Europe Lithuania 1289
Americas Colombia 1226
Americas Argentina 1216
Europe Switzerland 1187
Europe Romania 1174
Americas Chile 1172
Europe Luxembourg 1163
Europe Republic of Moldova 1155
Europe Armenia 1147
Americas Bolivia 1037
Europe Austria 1016
Europe Latvia 981
Europe Netherlands 964
Americas Ecuador 937
Europe Ireland 937
Europe Kosovo 937
Europe Georgia 933
Europe Germany 901
Africa South Africa 883
Eastern Mediterranean Lebanon 865
Europe Malta 854
Americas Belize 797
Europe Albania 754
Europe Serbia 741
Europe Ukraine 740
Eastern Mediterranean Iran 739
Europe Greece 734
Eastern Mediterranean Tunisia 731
Europe Monaco 713
Europe Israel 711

Death rates are the best measures of a national government’s effectiveness, because in many countries with poor pandemic management, the total number of cases is severely under-reported. From these results, it is clear that many nations which put business ahead of evidence-based health advice have higher death rates.

The world map below makes it easier to see regional patters, from the excellent Our World In Data website:

This second table below shows nations with death rates already above the worldwide average ranked by percentage increase in the last two weeks, to highlight those governments whose current pandemic management is not proving effective:

Country Deaths/M-2weeks Deaths/M Percent change
Estonia 510 620 22
Jordan 500 606 21
Hungary 1690 1962 16
Lebanon 759 865 14
Palestine 430 490 14
Paraguay 475 542 14
Slovakia 1492 1696 14
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1640 1849 13
Bulgaria 1583 1786 13
Czechia 2090 2359 13
Malta 763 854 12
Ukraine 661 740 12
Brazil 1273 1415 11
Greece 661 734 11
Libya 339 376 11
Moldova 1037 1155 11
Montenegro 1751 1949 11
Albania 690 754 9
North Macedonia 1557 1702 9
Poland 1215 1330 9
Serbia 679 741 9
Kosovo 866 937 8
Luxembourg 1075 1163 8
Monaco 663 713 8
Latvia 915 981 7
Romania 1100 1174 7
Russia 608 648 7
Chile 1109 1172 6
Italy 1667 1759 6
San Marino 2269 2416 6
Armenia 1092 1147 5
Honduras 434 455 5
Lithuania 1231 1289 5
Peru 1461 1531 5
Austria 974 1016 4
Croatia 1370 1420 4
France 1316 1366 4
Germany 870 901 4
Guatemala 364 377 4
Mexico 1493 1548 4
Tunisia 702 731 4
Turkey 347 361 4
Argentina 1181 1216 3
Colombia 1194 1226 3
Ecuador 913 937 3
Georgia 906 933 3
Ireland 911 937 3
Israel 687 711 3
Netherlands 938 964 3
South Africa 860 883 3
United States 1601 1647 3
Andorra 1450 1475 2
Bahamas 470 478 2
Belgium 1928 1966 2
Bolivia 1018 1037 2
Canada 592 602 2
Costa Rica 559 571 2
Iran 725 739 2
Liechtenstein 1442 1468 2
Panama 1381 1406 2
Slovenia 1880 1921 2
Spain 1539 1577 2
Sweden 1296 1323 2
Switzerland 1165 1187 2
Denmark 411 415 1
Eswatini 567 574 1
Portugal 1630 1648 1
United Kingdom 1845 1865 1
Belize 795 797 0

The long term picture is still unclear. These results will be revised every month, or you can view a chart and add your own selection of data and countries at this link: Ourworldindata.org

Many nations will never report accurate totals because they do not fund sufficient testing. Citizens there will only get an indication of trend from public statistics, but must judge the true scale of deaths from community and hospital experience. However, post-pandemic statistics on unexplained changes in national death rates will reveal the extent of under-counting over the next year.

Full table for all countries below:

Territory/Area Country Deaths per million
Europe San Marino 2416
Europe Czech Republic 2359
Europe Belgium 1966
Europe Hungary 1962
Europe Montenegro 1949
Europe Slovenia 1921
Europe The United Kingdom 1865
Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina 1849
Europe Bulgaria 1786
Europe Italy 1759
Europe North Macedonia 1702
Europe Slovakia 1696
Europe Portugal 1648
Americas United States of America 1647
Europe Spain 1577
Americas Mexico 1548
Americas Peru 1531
Europe Andorra 1475
Europe Liechtenstein 1468
Europe Croatia 1420
Americas Brazil 1415
Americas Panama 1406
Europe France 1366
Europe Poland 1330
Europe Sweden 1323
Europe Lithuania 1289
Americas Colombia 1226
Americas Argentina 1216
Europe Switzerland 1187
Europe Romania 1174
Americas Chile 1172
Europe Luxembourg 1163
Europe Republic of Moldova 1155
Europe Armenia 1147
Americas Bolivia 1037
Europe Austria 1016
Europe Latvia 981
Europe Netherlands 964
Americas Ecuador 937
Europe Ireland 937
Europe Kosovo 937
Europe Georgia 933
Europe Germany 901
Africa South Africa 883
Eastern Mediterranean Lebanon 865
Europe Malta 854
Americas Belize 797
Europe Albania 754
Europe Serbia 741
Europe Ukraine 740
Eastern Mediterranean Iran 739
Europe Greece 734
Eastern Mediterranean Tunisia 731
Europe Monaco 713
Europe Israel 711
Europe Russian Federation 648
Europe Estonia 620
Eastern Mediterranean Jordan 606
Americas Canada 602
Africa Eswatini 574
Americas Costa Rica 571
Americas Paraguay 542
Eastern Mediterranean Palestine 490
Americas Bahamas 478
Americas Honduras 455
Europe Denmark 415
Americas Guatemala 377
Eastern Mediterranean Libya 376
Europe Turkey 361
Eastern Mediterranean Iraq 350
Europe Azerbaijan 336
Eastern Mediterranean Oman 322
Americas Saint Lucia 316
Americas El Salvador 307
Americas Dominican Republic 303
Americas Suriname 302
Eastern Mediterranean Bahrain 298
Eastern Mediterranean Kuwait 294
Africa Cabo Verde 293
Americas Antigua and Barbuda 286
Europe Cyprus 283
Americas Guyana 280
Americas Uruguay 243
Eastern Mediterranean Morocco 238
Europe Belarus 231
Europe Kyrgyzstan 229
Africa Botswana 206
Africa Namibia 198
Eastern Mediterranean Saudi Arabia 190
Americas Jamaica 184
Africa Seychelles 183
Europe Kazakhstan 171
Africa Comoros 168
Africa São Tomé, Príncipe 155
Africa Lesotho 147
Eastern Mediterranean United Arab Emirates 147
Europe Finland 146
South-East Asia Indonesia 146
Americas Barbados 139
South-East Asia Maldives 122
Europe Norway 121
Western Pacific Philippines 119
South-East Asia India 116
Eastern Mediterranean Egypt 115
South-East Asia Nepal 104
Africa Zimbabwe 102
Americas Trinidad and Tobago 101
Africa Mauritania 96
Eastern Mediterranean Qatar 96
Americas Saint Vincent, Grenadines 90
Europe Iceland 85
Africa Equatorial Guinea 73
Western Pacific Japan 71
Africa Algeria 70
Eastern Mediterranean Syrian Arab Republic 68
Africa Gambia 67
Africa Zambia 65
Eastern Mediterranean Djibouti 65
Eastern Mediterranean Pakistan 64
Eastern Mediterranean Afghanistan 63
Africa Senegal 61
South-East Asia Myanmar 59
Africa Malawi 58
Americas Venezuela 53
South-East Asia Bangladesh 53
Africa Gabon 49
Eastern Mediterranean Sudan 46
Africa Kenya 38
Western Pacific Malaysia 38
Americas Cuba 36
Western Pacific Australia 36
Western Pacific Republic of Korea 33
Eastern Mediterranean Somalia 29
Africa Guinea-Bissau 28
Americas Nicaragua 27
Eastern Mediterranean Yemen 27
South-East Asia Sri Lanka 26
Africa Congo 24
Africa Ethiopia 24
Africa Ghana 24
Africa Mozambique 24
Africa Cameroon 23
Africa Rwanda 23
Americas Haiti 22
Europe Uzbekistan 19
Africa Mali 18
Africa Liberia 17
Africa Angola 16
Africa Central African Republic 13
Africa Madagascar 13
Africa Togo 13
Africa Chad 10
Africa Nigeria 10
Africa Sierra Leone 10
Africa South Sudan 10
Africa Guinea 9
Americas Grenada 9
Europe Tajikistan 9
Africa Côte d’Ivoire 8
Africa Democratic Republic Congo 8
Africa Mauritius 8
Africa Niger 8
Africa Benin 7
Africa Burkina Faso 7
Africa Uganda 7
Western Pacific Brunei Darussalam 7
Western Pacific New Zealand 5
Western Pacific Singapore 5
Western Pacific Papua New Guinea 4
Western Pacific China 3
Africa Eritrea 2
Western Pacific Fiji 2
Western Pacific Mongolia 2
Africa Burundi 1
South-East Asia Bhutan 1
South-East Asia Thailand 1
Africa Tanzania 0
Western Pacific Cambodia 0
Western Pacific Taiwan 0
Western Pacific Viet Nam 0
Americas Cayman Islands
Americas Dominica
Americas Saint Kitts and Nevis
Europe Gibraltar
Europe Holy See
South-East Asia Hong Kong
South-East Asia Macao
South-East Asia Timor-Leste
Western Pacific Laos
Western Pacific Marshall Islands
Western Pacific Micronesia
Western Pacific Samoa
Western Pacific Solomon Islands
Western Pacific Vanuatu

Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) – Situation Report Worldwide.