The latest worldwide average death rate is 39 per one million people, up from 35 one week ago. Figures are from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control situation report to Saturday 16th May. Here’s the updated list of countries with death rates more than twice that average:

Death rates are the best measures of a national government’s effectiveness, because in many countries with poor pandemic management, the total number of cases is under-reported.

From these results, it is clear that many nations which put business ahead of evidence-based health advice have higher death rates. Some nations with lower death rates have also benefited from being able to learn from nations hit earlier, or due to low visitor numbers from China. Others had established pandemic testing expertise and/or social isolation cultures for influenza, and possibly better immune profiles yet to be understood.

We are all at an early stage of this crisis and the long term picture is still unclear. These results will be revised each weekend, or you can view a chart and add your own selection of data and countries at this link: Ourworldindata.org

Under-reported of deaths in the UK are now being revised, but many other nations will never report accurate totals. Citizens there will only get an indication of trend from public statistics, but must judge the true scale of deaths from community and hospital experience.

Full table for all countries below:

Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) – Situation Report Worldwide, 16 May 2020.

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